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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Jack London Square › 255 3rd St #206
255 3rd St #206 — 1 bd condo for sale in Jack London Square, Oakland
58Fair price

255 3rd St #206

Jack London Square, Oakland, CA · 94607
$519,000 ~at market (-8%)
1 bd · 1 ba · 1,256 sqft · $413/sf
HOA $925/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 145 days on market · built 1921
⏳ Sitting — leverage⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 8% under fair value
Model fair value · 26 sold comps · ±15%$562,494
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−8%
Condition · Industrial loft, polished concrete−3%
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built58Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+9.6
HOA burden · $925/mo = 2.14%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−6.5
Days on market · 145 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+6
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+9.1
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 26 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score58/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,412/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,875
Property tax (1.30% effective)$562
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$925
Total monthly$4,412
Rough cash to close$116,775

35% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $55,500 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,487.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($25,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Falling · -3.1%/yr

Reconstructed from 5 units of recorded sales at 255 3rd St — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$9852024$9252025$9252026
$925/mo · 2026
-6% since 2024

These dues have actually fallen over 2 years across 5 units — unusual. Worth confirming the building isn't underfunding its reserves to keep the fee low.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 145 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $925/mo
  • Older building (1921)
🚩 Red flags
—

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $160,000 Nov 21, 1994Now $519,000Peak $519,000 May 19, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +224% above its trough.
  • May 19, 2026 — Listed $519,000
  • May 2, 2026 — Coming Soon $519,000
  • Oct 16, 2014 — Sold (MLS) $480,000
  • Oct 16, 2014 — Sold (Public Records) $480,000
  • Sep 2, 2014 — Listed $475,000
  • Mar 31, 2006 — Sold (MLS) $440,000

Description

Spectacular warehouse conversion loft in the heart of Jack London Square with sleek finishes, clever storage options and private outdoor space. In the fashion of a true loft the property offers double height ceilings, mushroom capped columns, library with sliding ladder & a wall of Southwest facing warehouse windows. This inspiring property comes with deeded parking and is located steps to the waterfront, restaurants, transportation and more. Come see what the buzz is all about in Jack London Square.

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