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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Jack London Square › 222 Broadway #1412
222 Broadway #1412 — 1 bd condo for sale in Jack London Square, Oakland
23Overpriced

222 Broadway #1412

Jack London Square, Oakland, CA · 94607
$425,000 21% above mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 694 sqft · $612/sf
HOA $854/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 14 · 2 days on market · built 2009
⚠️ HOA trap
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +21% over fair value
Model fair value · 26 sold comps · ±15%$338,275
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+26%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · ≈39% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built23Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−25.2
HOA burden · $854/mo = 2.41%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−8.7
Days on market · 2 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−33.9
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 26 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score23/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,719/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,354
Property tax (1.30% effective)$460
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$854
Total monthly$3,719
Rough cash to close$95,625

37% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $51,240 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,865.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($21,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

6 recorded points

Reconstructed from 23 units of recorded sales at 222 Broadway — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$1,0602022$1,1362023$1,1302024$1,2332025$1,2232026
$1,223/mo · 2026
+21% since 2021

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • 39% below its 2020 peak
  • Upper floor (fl 14)
  • In-unit W/D
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • 26% above model fair value
  • HOA $854/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • Listed BELOW its 2020 sale ($692k) → value eroding
  • Only 1 photo — verify condition

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $425,000 Oct 9, 2026Now $425,000Peak $699,000 Jun 5, 2020
Current list price is 39% below its peak · +0% above its trough.
  • Oct 9, 2026 — Listed $425,000
  • Dec 1, 2023 — Rental Removed $2,695
  • Nov 30, 2023 — Listed for Rent $2,695
  • Jul 13, 2020 — Sold (MLS) $692,000
  • Jul 13, 2020 — Sold (Public Records) $692,000
  • Jun 5, 2020 — Listed $699,000

Description

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