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StealpadFremont, CACenterville38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #10
38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #10 — 2 bd condo for sale in Centerville, Fremont
35Priced high

38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy #10

Centerville, Fremont, CA · 94536
$599,000 8% below mkt
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,033 sqft · $580/sf
HOA $596/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 108 days on market · built 1970
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +14% over fair value
Model fair value · 99 sold comps · ±8%$540,473
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+11%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built35Priced high
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−16.8
HOA burden · $596/mo = 1.19%/yr of price vs a 1.34% norm — at or below normal, no charge0
Days on market · 108 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−13.8
Model confidence · strong — ±8% typical model error across 99 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score35/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$4,371/mo all-in
20% down at 6.65% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$3,076
Property tax (1.30% effective)$649
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$596
Total monthly$4,371
Rough cash to close$134,775

30% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $35,760 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $3,775.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($29,950). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-08-20 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

✅ Fairly steady · +0.4%/yr

Reconstructed from 9 units of recorded sales at 38228 Paseo Padre Pkwy — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4932021$4492022$5022023$5022025$5022026
$502/mo · 2026
+2% since 2021

These dues have held relatively steady (about +0.4%/yr over 5 years across 9 units) — a good sign. Only the reserve study confirms the building is keeping up with its big-ticket repairs.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 108 days → strong negotiating leverage
  • In-unit W/D
  • Low HOA (1.2%/yr)
  • HOA steady in this building (~0.4%/yr over 5yr)
⚠️ Cons
  • 11% above model fair value
  • HOA $596/mo
  • Older building (1970)
🚩 Red flags

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $555,000 Dec 6, 2022Now $599,000Peak $599,000 May 11, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +8% above its trough.
  • May 11, 2026 — Listed $599,000
  • May 11, 2026 — Listed $599,000
  • Dec 6, 2022 — Sold (MLS) $555,000
  • Dec 6, 2022 — Sold (Public Records) $555,000
  • Sep 28, 2022 — Price Changed $570,000
  • Aug 17, 2022 — Listed $575,000

Description

Located in Fremont, this 1,033 sq ft home features two bedrooms and two full bathrooms: one with a stall shower and a second with a shower over a tub. The kitchen is equipped with a gas cooktop, oven range, and microwave, providing functional cooking options. Laminate flooring runs throughout the home, complementing the dining area within the living room. Laundry facilities with a washer and dryer are conveniently located inside. Heating is provided by a wall furnace, and there is no central cooling system. The property does offer access to a community in-ground pool. The home is within the Fremont Unified School District. Fantastic location for shopping, schools, and dining.

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