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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Piedmont Avenue › 651 Oakland Ave Unit 2D
651 Oakland Ave Unit 2D — 1 bd condo for sale in Piedmont Avenue, Oakland
60Fair price

651 Oakland Ave Unit 2D

Piedmont Avenue, Oakland, CA · 94611
$285,000 16% below mkt
1 bd · 1 ba · 597 sqft · $477/sf
HOA $658/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 1 · 88 days on market · built 1967
⚖️ Adjusted valueUndervaluedasking is 16% under fair value
Model fair value · 11 sold comps · ±15%$324,471
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−12%
Condition · Renovated: new floors, stone counter+1%
Price history · ≈31% below its peak−5%
📐 How this Deal Score was built60Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+19.2
HOA burden · $658/mo = 2.77%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−11.5
Days on market · 88 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined+10.7
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 11 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score60/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$2,595/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$1,579
Property tax (1.30% effective)$309
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$658
Total monthly$2,595
Rough cash to close$64,125

39% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $39,480 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $1,937.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($14,250). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

2 recorded points

Reconstructed from 3 units of recorded sales at 651 Oakland Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$4852024$6582026
$658/mo · 2026
+36% since 2024

We have a few recorded HOA fees for this building but not yet enough to call a reliable trend, so these are the raw points — no rate implied. Its documents fill in the reserve health and assessment risk.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • Cheapest of 5 tracked in Piedmont Avenue
  • 12% below model fair value
  • 31% below its 2015 peak
  • On market 88 days → some leverage
⚠️ Cons
  • Small (597 sf)
  • HOA $658/mo
  • Older building (1967)
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~17%/yr in this building ($485/mo in 2024 → $658)
  • Listed BELOW its 2024 sale ($380k) → value eroding

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $318,000 Jul 15, 2026Now $285,000Peak $415,000 Oct 1, 2015
Current list price is 31% below its peak · +-10% above its trough.
  • Jul 15, 2026 — Listed $318,000
  • Jan 4, 2024 — Sold (MLS) $380,000
  • Jan 4, 2024 — Sold (Public Records) $380,000
  • Nov 28, 2023 — Price Changed $393,000
  • Oct 13, 2023 — Price Changed $399,000
  • Sep 14, 2023 — Listed $408,000

Description

Updated single-level condo in one of Oakland's most convenient locations! Just blocks from Kaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center, Morcom Rose Garden, and vibrant Piedmont Avenue, this move-in ready home offers an ideal blend of comfort and accessibility. The spacious living and dining area features updated flooring, recessed lighting, and sliding glass doors leading to a private balcony. The kitchen includes granite countertops, abundant cabinetry, and breakfast bar seating. The generously sized bedroom offers custom built-in wardrobe storage, while the updated bathroom features granite counters and a tiled tub/shower enclosure. Additional amenities include elevator access, secured…

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