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Stealpad › Oakland, CA › Uptown › 200 Lakeside Dr #202
200 Lakeside Dr #202 — 2 bd condo for sale in Uptown, Oakland
26Overpriced

200 Lakeside Dr #202

Uptown, Oakland, CA · 94612
$859,900 17% above mkt
2 bd · 1 ba · 1,526 sqft · $563/sf
HOA $2,020/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 70 days on market · built 1924
⚖️ Adjusted valueOverpricedasking is +17% over fair value
Model fair value · 18 sold comps · ±15%$759,102
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location+13%
Condition · Grand pre-war; kitchen not shown+1%
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built26Overpriced
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history−20.4
HOA burden · $2,020/mo = 2.82%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−11.9
Days on market · 70 days — it has sat, so you have leverage+3
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−29.3
Model confidence · moderate — ±15% typical model error across 18 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×0.8
Deal Score26/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$7,765/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$4,763
Property tax (1.30% effective)$932
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$2,020
Total monthly$7,765
Rough cash to close$193,478

39% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $121,200 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $5,745.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($42,995). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +10.7%/yr

Reconstructed from 9 units of recorded sales at 200 Lakeside Dr — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$1,3452022$1,6142023$1,7002025$2,0202026
$2,020/mo · 2026
+50% since 2022

These dues climbed 50% in 4 years — about +10.7%/yr across 9 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • On market 70 days → some leverage
  • Garage parking
⚠️ Cons
  • 13% above model fair value
  • HOA $2020/mo
  • Older building (1924)
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~11%/yr in this building ($1345/mo in 2022 → $2020)
  • Very high HOA $2020/mo (full-service high-rise)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $180,000 Jan 31, 1989Now $859,900Peak $859,900 Aug 19, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +378% above its trough.
  • Aug 19, 2026 — Price Changed $859,900
  • Jul 10, 2026 — Listed $839,900
  • May 21, 2025 — Sold (MLS) $725,000
  • May 21, 2025 — Sold (Public Records) $725,000
  • Apr 17, 2025 — Listed $789,000
  • Jun 20, 2012 — Sold (MLS) $453,700

Description

Rare corner residence in the iconic Beaux Arts Regillus, where timeless architecture meets exceptional Lake Merritt living. A grand entry foyer welcomes you into a sun-drenched living space with soaring ceilings, elegant period detailing, and beautiful hardwood floors throughout. An exquisite marble wood-burning fireplace serves as the centerpiece of the living room, creating a warm and sophisticated gathering space. Sliding glass doors in every room open to a wraparound balcony, seamlessly blending indoor and outdoor living while showcasing views of the beautifully manicured courtyard gardens and iconic Lake Merritt. Two spacious bedrooms enjoy picturesque lake views, offering a serene…

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