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Stealpad › Hayward, CA › ZIP 94545 › 25850 Kay Ave #229
25850 Kay Ave #229 — 2 bd condo for sale in ZIP 94545, Hayward
49Fair price

25850 Kay Ave #229

ZIP 94545, Hayward, CA · 94545
$429,000 ~at market (-4%)
2 bd · 2 ba · 1,007 sqft · $426/sf
HOA $747/mo · 🏢 fee history ↓ · Floor 2 · 38 days on market · built 1989
⚖️ Adjusted valueFairly pricedasking is 4% under fair value
Model fair value · 92 sold comps · ±7%$461,576
vs model fair value · size · beds/baths · age · HOA · location−7%
Condition · Avg / verify in person0
Price history · at/near its all-time high+3%
📐 How this Deal Score was built49Fair price
Value gap · asking vs model fair value, after condition & price history+4.8
HOA burden · $747/mo = 2.09%/yr of price vs a 1.33% norm−6.1
Days on market · 38 days — not long enough to give you leverage0
Raw advantage · the three above, combined−1.3
Model confidence · strong — ±7% typical model error across 92 sold comps. The less certain the model, the harder the gap is pulled back toward neutral×1
Deal Score49/100

Higher is a better buy. 50 is "priced about right for what it is". The last step curves the raw advantage onto 0–100, so points stop being one-for-one at the extremes.

💵What this unit actually costs per month

$3,638/mo all-in
20% down at 7.4% (this week's 30-year average) · mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Mortgage principal & interest$2,376
Property tax (1.30% effective)$465
Insurance (estimate)$50
HOA dues$747
Total monthly$3,638
Rough cash to close$96,525

35% of that payment is not the mortgage. The HOA fee alone is $44,820 over five years — money that buys you no equity. A calculator that defaulted the fee to zero would have quoted you $2,891.

Financing type

Not FHA-approved. No 3.5%-down FHA financing on this unit, so the realistic floor is a 5%-down conventional loan ($21,450). Common for small associations and not a defect on its own, but it does remove FHA buyers from your resale pool.

Minimum realistic down payment here: 5% · verify on HUD's lookup

Rate is the Freddie Mac PMMS 30-year average for the week of 2026-10-08 — a national survey figure, not a quote. Tax, insurance and closing costs are estimates; your own Loan Estimate is the real number.

This building's HOA fees

🚩 Rising fast · +12.5%/yr

Reconstructed from 5 units of recorded sales at 25850 Kay Ave — every recorded sale carries its HOA fee and date. No listing site shows this.

$5902024$6282025$7472026
$747/mo · 2026
+27% since 2024

These dues climbed 27% in 2 years — about +12.5%/yr across 5 units of recorded sales, well above inflation. A rise this steep is a leading signal of a special assessment, a drained reserve fund, or an insurance shock. The listing never shows it; the building's documents are where the "why" lives.

🏢 Get this building's full reserve & assessment report — free →
✅ Positives
  • In-unit W/D
⚠️ Cons
  • HOA $747/mo
🚩 Red flags
  • HOA rising ~13%/yr in this building ($590/mo in 2024 → $747)

Photos

Price history (this unit)

Trough $104,000 Jan 31, 1989Now $429,000Peak $429,000 Sep 3, 2026
Current list price is 0% below its peak · +313% above its trough.
  • Sep 3, 2026 — Listed $429,000
  • Jun 17, 2024 — Rental Removed $2,500
  • May 10, 2024 — Listed for Rent $2,500
  • May 28, 2014 — Sold (Public Records) $250,000
  • Jan 31, 1989 — Sold (Public Records) $104,000

Description

Welcome to 25850 Kay Avenue #229, a thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath condominium offering a comfortable blend of space, style, and everyday convenience. The inviting open-concept floor plan brings the living, dining, and kitchen areas together, creating an ideal setting for both relaxed daily living and entertaining. Anchored by a cozy fireplace, the living room opens directly to a private balcony perfect for enjoying a morning coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The updated kitchen features sleek quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and ample workspace and storage. Two well-appointed bedrooms offer flexibility for a variety of lifestyles, including a spacious…

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